Good evening everyone! I hope your week is going strong. Attached is the FINAL Prediction for December 15 and the Second Prediction for December 16, 2022.

A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 10 AM Thursday until 7 AM Friday; the National Weather Service is expecting 3 to 6 inches of snowfall and 0.10 inches of ice (this is down slightly from yesterday’s Winter Storm Watch). For Thursday, a 10 AM start time is on the fence when it comes to the closing versus early dismissal argument. However, there was a similar event back on February 20, 2021 where Monroe County schools went virtual or closed. Using that event as an analog or proxy to tomorrow’s event, I am leaning towards the closing scenario. Switching gears to Friday, model guidance is starting to come in a little colder, meaning temperatures are expected to stay below freezing for longer. If these trends hold, the closing odds may take the lead, but for now it is also a borderline situation. 

I plan on issuing the Final Prediction for Friday tomorrow evening. Have a great day everyone and thank you for the support!

Curious about getting hourly school predictions for your local county four days in advance? Check out the Premium Site! Want to get your hands on some merch? Swag available here! Interested in advertising your small business? Click here to inquire!