Good morning everyone and Happy Tuesday! Attached is the FINAL Prediction for Tuesday, November 15 and the Second Prediction for November 16, 2022.

A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect from 4 PM today until 7 AM tomorrow morning. 1 to 3 inches of snow/sleet plus 0.20 inches of ice accruals are still anticipated. I still expect snow to arrive sometime around 6 PM, which should still give enough time for after school activities to conclude. However, I did receive a report (unconfirmed) that North Pocono School districted (an elevated district located to the north of Pocono Mountain School District) canceled activities – this may be in reaction to the start time of the advisory of 4 PM, along with higher snow expected for that area. Considering a neighboring district has already canceled their activities, I did increase the odds respectively, but I still favor a regular day for the most part – I can see some elevated districts (i.e. Pocono Mountain) canceling after school activities.

For tomorrow’s prediction, I didn’t move the percentages too much as the overall forecast remains the same. I will be watching observations very closely today to get gauge on how tomorrow may trend: if temperatures remain colder for longer, I will keep favoring the delay since colder-than-expected temperatures is what the prediction is hinging on. Otherwise, if temperatures are in line with forecasts, I could very well favor the regular day scenario. I expect the Final Prediction to be out this evening.

Thanks everyone for the support and have a fantastic day!

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