Good evening everyone! I hope your Thanksgiving went well as we enter the holiday season.

Although things have been quiet for the last few weeks, I have been keeping tabs on the weather and we may have our first opportunity for noteworthy snowfall this Saturday. An area of low pressure is expected to form along the Eastern coast, but there is still a lot of uncertainty as to where exactly this low forms and how intense it is. This will, in turn, determine how much – if any – snowfall we receive.

The European model has been consistent on a very snowy scenario (6″+) while other guidance has been consistent on a light rain event. Given that air temperatures will be around or slightly above freezing, I believe that snow accumulations would be reduced even under an ideal storm track and intensity. Right now, I am thinking best-case (for snow lovers) is 6 inches for the higher elevations, 3 inches for the valleys; worse-case no accumulations at all. If I had to throw a dart now, I would say 1 to 3 inches for Monroe County, but this is a pure guess.

I will be posting updates as we get better information and consensus. I am also monitoring private and public (NWS) sources for trends and forecasts. For now, I do not anticipate any impacts to schools for Monday. Have a great evening everyone and thank you for the support!

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