2 Hour Delay Analysis and Commentary

Good evening everyone. I want to do a quick follow up on the recent delay announcements in our area.

For those who do not know: ALL Monroe County School Districts are delayed for tomorrow. From my perspective, they are conducting delays to buy time for air temperatures to get above freezing and improve road conditions. However, I distinctly remember an event identical to tonight’s setup where the districts delayed the night before and ended up closing the following day. That event had the same temperature, precipitation, and timing profile as tonight’s event.

Snow is still expected to resume around midnight, pickup towards 4 AM, convert to ice around then, and finally changeover to rain around 6/7 AM. I am still anticipating moderate to heavy precipitation rates around then.

I still stand by my Final Prediction of 75% Closing, 25% Delay. I would expect morning evaluation to be conducted. If you do not get any calls from the school district(s) in the morning, that means they are sticking with the delay. Please let me know if you have any questions by commenting them below; have a good evening everyone.